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Monetary Policy

Policy rates and lending: mechanisms, players, risks

Analysis: Higher policy rates make credit more expensive and dampen investment and demand.

By the editors7 July 20237 min read

Higher policy rates make credit more expensive and dampen investment and demand.

Several forces are at work in “Policy rates and lending”: the interest rate environment, domestic and foreign demand, regulation and, not least, market participants' expectations. None of these can be viewed in isolation.

Risks include unexpected political decisions, supply chain disruptions and abrupt shifts in financial market sentiment. Opportunities arise where companies respond early to changing conditions.

The debate around “Policy rates and lending” is not new, but it has grown more urgent since 2022. The energy price shock, the turn in interest rates and geopolitical tensions have called many old certainties into question.

Economists and industry bodies assess the situation in different ways. Most agree, however, that reliable conditions for investment decisions are crucial.