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Monetary Policy

The ECB's inflation target: what decision-makers should watch

Briefing: The ECB aims for two per cent inflation over the medium term; since 2021 the target has been symmetric.

By the editors9 March 20257 min read

The ECB aims for two per cent inflation over the medium term; since 2021 the target has been symmetric.

For executives, the main question regarding “The ECB's inflation target” is their own exposure: which costs, revenues and financing conditions depend on it, directly or indirectly?

A proven approach is to run scenarios and monitor leading indicators regularly. That puts decisions on a solid footing without reacting to every headline.

Anyone looking into “The ECB's inflation target” quickly encounters a wealth of figures and opinions. For a sober assessment it pays to go to primary sources: official statistics, publications from the responsible authorities and companies' own reports.

The key is to separate short-term swings from structural developments. Individual monthly readings can be distorted by one-off effects; trends over several quarters are more telling.