Government bonds and risk premia: the key questions answered
Explainer: Yield spreads between euro area government bonds reflect perceived differences in credit risk.
Yield spreads between euro area government bonds reflect perceived differences in credit risk.
Anyone looking into “Government bonds and risk premia” quickly encounters a wealth of figures and opinions. For a sober assessment it pays to go to primary sources: official statistics, publications from the responsible authorities and companies' own reports.
The key is to separate short-term swings from structural developments. Individual monthly readings can be distorted by one-off effects; trends over several quarters are more telling.
For executives, the main question regarding “Government bonds and risk premia” is their own exposure: which costs, revenues and financing conditions depend on it, directly or indirectly?
A proven approach is to run scenarios and monitor leading indicators regularly. That puts decisions on a solid footing without reacting to every headline.